I sometimes imagine the stock market as a constant humming. Not the hubbub hum of an open outcry trading floor, nor the electrical buzz and click of servers and machines, but the whine of millions of voices guiding billions of dollars, rand and rupees into bets on global business profits, economic scarcity and the future direction of mankind. It's the droning roar of the engine that powers the wor... ››› more
I recently got a mail from Keith asking about Brait's latest rights offer:
“Hi Francois. Hope all is well with you. I have BAT shares, only 545. Now they have some kind of rights offer and I got 1 BATN, lol. I need to make an election, but I don't understand. Currently the BATN is trading around 1000 c. Take up value is 100,000c. Does it mean I can take up the nil share, it gets added to the 5... ››› more
In Ernest Hemingway's 1926 novel “The Sun Also Rises” two characters are discussing bankruptcy:
“How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked.
“Two ways” Mike said, “gradually and then suddenly”.
The “slowly at first, and then all at once” concept is wonderfully described in Malcom Gladwell's debut book The Tipping Point. Gladwell defines this idea as “the moment of critica... ››› more
The petrol price in South Africa is breaking the R20 a litre level.
December 2020 it sold for R14.26 a litre. That's an increase of 41.6%
Sure - the 2020 level for petrol prices was a low base. Covid reduced demand and the oil price was really low.
But the huge increases we're seeing now are hurting - and they'll definitely affect business as well.
-------------------------------------------... ››› more
In July this year, I pinpointed 3 green lights for its rally to 4,600. And have you seen recently it's been trading at around 4,681
The price has shot right through the price target and then some.
At first, I was going to just bank my profits and run…
However, I've just been alerted another 3 MAJOR buying signals.
And now my SP500 price target just got bigger, better and even mor... ››› more
Q. ”This year I joined Timon's trader service. I must say I'm loving the simplicity of the emails and the high number of profits so far. In one of the recent emails, it said that you had banked a certain percentage on a trade. Please clarify a formula to calculate the gain and loss percentage in a trade?”
A. Thank you for the question Happiness and glad to have you on board.
Le... ››› more
The rand has really taken a beating this year.
In July I wrote an article, From Lockdown 4 to Jumanji - Here's why I'm selling the rand. I predicted that the rand would fall from R14.30 to R15.58.
This was due to local reasons such as the looting that took place, the slow vaccination roll-out as well as a bearish chart pattern.
And to catch you up, you... ››› more
Q. “Would you please clear something for me. There was recently a trade recommendation for Brent Crude. This is quoted in US dollars? How do you work out a 2% risk with a South African rand denominated account?”
A. Sure, I’ll share with you an easy calculation from the most recent Brent crude trade we sent out via Pickpocket Trader on 28 October 2021.
Here are the tr... ››› more
As the crypto economy expands and matures, more and more opportunities have arisen for crypto investors.
And I'm not just talking about crypto coins or crypto miners.
Today, there are numerous cryptos stocks aiming to combine the digital currency and fiat money worlds.
One such company is making huge strides in doing so…
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Will... ››› more
In the last part of 2021, we've already banked seven profitable trades.
Take a look at the last 7 trades…
• Aspen for a 28.02% gain in just 38 days.
• Anglo American for a 63.39% gain in 9 days.
• Spar for a 25% gain in 10 days.
• BHP Billiton for a 73.12% gain in 5 days.
• First Rand Bank for a 5.83% gain in 15 days.
• Spar for a -28.40% loss in 28 days.
... ››› more
I'm sure you've heard, with a great deal of fanfare from the COP26 conference, that the US, UK, Germany, France and the EU have secured a deal to provide South Africa with R130 billion in climate finance to build more renewable energy - and replace aging Eskom plants.
A recent Moneyweb article - interviewing RMB CEO James Formby - indicates this could branch out to become a R500 billion inject... ››› more
Q “Last Wednesday you mentioned the 5 Satrix ETFs you're mainly trading. I saw that recently they launched another Satrix ETF called the CAPI… Can you please explain what the ETF does and if you're looking at trading it in the future?”
A. Yes, most definitely.
As soon as the CAPI is available to trade on the trading platform and there is high volume of buying and selling, I will be a... ››› more
Did you hear?
Some unfortunate crypto investors/traders lost everything.
And that's not hyperbole.
In just under a month, one crypto exploded 83,000%. Only for it to erase all these gains just a couple of weeks later.
So what happened?
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Will you outlive your money?
My colleague Josh Benton recently discovered a w... ››› more
This month is a major one for South Africa…
On 1 November we had the local municipal vote where we saw negative sentiment for both the rand and bonds.
In fact, not only did the the rand fall over 1.1% versus the dollar, the nation's local-currency debt also dropped 1.2% in dollar terms.
This weaker rand helped boost resources share prices, as our resources are exported in US dollars.... ››› more
I have been picking structured products for several years now and rarely have I seen a product as good as the one I've found this month.
Tell me where you've ever heard of an investment that:
Has a 100% capital guarantee,
Delivers 400% of UNCAPPED index performance,
Offers a guaranteed 12% tax-rate on your final return,
Is backed by an A-rated international bank, ... ››› more
China's second largest real estate developer is going bust.
The company is $300 billion in debt. And it is struggling to pay interest when payments are becoming due.
It's easy to think that an ailing real estate developer in China is an isolated case and it won't affect you…
But the thing is, China's real estate market is worth $55 trillion. It is bigger than the US stock market, and... ››› more
Q. “I'm looking to invest in different local ETFs other than shares and indices. What are your top local ETFs you're mainly investing and trading this year when it comes to South Africa Timon?”
A. In 2021, it's important to look at the most cost effective, easy to find and highly traded ETFs when it comes to investing and trading…
Just a reminder, an ETF is an investment vehicle that... ››› more
On October 20, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (NYSE: BITO) opened for trading.
It's the first crypto-linked exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the US market. And it had an immaculate debut - with $1 billion in volume on the first day.
That makes BITO's debut the second-most actively traded ETF launch in history!
Off the back of the launch, bitcoin rallied over 60%.
Even better, the ... ››› more
In case you've been living under a rock, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $67,000 last week. And if you've been reading Trading Tips, this should be of no surprise…
In 2020, I predicted Bitcoin would rally from $10,000 up to $24,442.
And on 18 May, when Bitcoin was at $42,700, I made a prediction that it would rally to $73,000.
You would probably think that I would sell ... ››› more
“Hi Timon, I have R265,000 in my trading account and I want to take the trade idea on the ALMI 40 you sent last week. I want to risk 3% of my portfolio and I see it works differently to shares. How many CFDs would I need to buy and do you have an ALMI calculation to help make it easier?”
You can find the full Article here:... ››› more
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