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  • Buy the USD/ZAR before 11h30 today for a quick profit
  • The Rand has strengthened against the majors over the past few weeks, but it has lost momentum and can't break below a key support level. We have our third quarter GDP numbers out at 11h30. With trade war uncertainty that hasn't abated and the VIX (aka the fear gauge) climbing from below 12 to above 14, we should see the Rand weaken against the majors over the next week or two. When the ... ››› more
  • [03 December 2019]
  • Is the JSE losing its monopoly?
  • For almost 130 years the JSE was the only stock exchange in South Africa. But as of a couple of years ago that changed when three new exchanges were given stock exchange licences. In 2019 the JSE has seen 21 companies de-list. Digging a little deeper, it's important to take note of what's been happening with the competition…   All three of these JSE competitors are growing ... ››› more
  • [27 November 2019]
  • QE infinity and SAs last chance
  • Last week we initiated a long USD/ZAR trade as we believed the market was pricing in too many positives. After the sobering news from the medium-term budget speech, it promptly lost over 60 cents. Traders who used futures would have made over 30% as our initial profit target was reached in just over a day. The Rand is strengthening on the back of Moody's just reducing the outlook from s... ››› more
  • [07 November 2019]
  • It's time to sell the Rand
  • The Rand has made a strong recovery against the major currency pairs over the past month. And faces several headwinds this week with the Mid-Term Budget Speech due tomorrow. There's also the Moody's decision and a slew of important data points from the US, Europe and the UK. These events have the potential to see the Rand lose 50c or more in the coming weeks against the USD. Look at t... ››› more
  • [29 October 2019]
  • Why you should go long the USD/ZAR
  • The Rand has staged a stellar rally. Strengthening from above R15 against the USD to below R13.90. It came within half a cent of our R13.8550 target against the USD but the price is consolidating. It's time to bank our profits after a 6.24% gain, with gearing your gain could have been more than ten times larger. Trading the other way and going long the USD against the ZAR has good risk to rewa... ››› more
  • [16 July 2019]
  • The Year that was - The biggest winner of 2016 was the Rand!
  • 2016 has been a year many will quickly forget, but for the shock results of the Brexit vote and the US elections; it was a year where many cans were kicked down the road. Global growth remained benign and potential silver-linings have yet to gain material traction because of lingering uncertainties such as the future US foreign policy, the tensions in South East Asia, lingering debt problems i... ››› more
  • [22 September 2017]
  • I was wrong
  • I was wrong about the rand. I thought it was going to go up to R10 a dollar, but I'm not going to cry about it. You can see looking at the USD/ZAR (United States Dollar versus the South African Dollar) weekly chart, a large wedge pattern formed from January 2016 up ‘till August 2017. A wedge pattern is known as a reversal pattern where the price wedges down into a triangle formation. And a... ››› more
  • [21 September 2017]
  • How to understand “currency pairs”, in a way you'll never forget
  • Pips, strength, weakness, ZAR, USD! If you've watched Bloomberg, CNBC or sky news, it can be a daunting task to try and understand all of these jargon Forex terms. But what If I could show you how to understand these currency pairs in a way you'll never forget it. I'm not going to bore you with too much information. In fact, one chart is all we need to make sure you remember how to und... ››› more
  • [08 September 2016]
  • Dealing with the Brexit aftermath... Stop panicking
  • When I heard the results of the Brexit vote last Friday, I was watching TV, clutching a cup of coffee and snuggling under a blanket with my sons in the diamond city, Kimberley. As soon as the news bulletin ended, my phone started to buzz uncontrollably. First, a message from my brother asking, “Did you see the Brexit result?” I ignored it. Then, a message from a colleague, “How could... ››› more
  • [27 June 2016]
  • Finally, the rand finds a stable footing thanks to the South African Reserve Bank
  • The past few weeks have been harrowing for the rand. It's been taking a severe beating from the dollar in the past two weeks. Worst of all, rumours about the arrest of Pravin Gordhan has certainly not been helping matters at all. But, finally, it seems to have found a moment of stability. How long this will last, I don't know. But let's take a closer look... The rand is battered by t... ››› more
  • [20 May 2016]
  • 99% of South Africans expect downside for the rand - Here's why I don't
  • Ask any South African. “Where do you think the rand is going next” You'll probably hear answers like I've been hearing, “The rand is going down the drain”, “going to hell, “going to S#^t” But not me! Today I'm going against 99% of what South Africans say, as I expect the rand to go up from here. Read on to see why… I haven’t made a wrong prediction yet! I joined FSPInvest.... ››› more
  • [25 April 2016]
  • For the first time in three years - I see upside for the rand!
  • Normally when I write about the rand, I expect the rand value to drop big time. • In 2013, I told you how the rand was going from R9.00 to R10.50 to the dollar. • In 2015, I showed you how the rand was going from 11.00 to R16.00 to the dollar • And now I'm about to reveal where I expect the rand to go from R16.00 Fortunately over the years, every time I made a rand prediction it worked ... ››› more
  • [22 March 2016]
  • First the spear, then the spike ... The rand crashes then recovers!
  • Last week, President Zuma made an unexpected announcement. Finance minister Nhlanhla Nene was let off (dare I say fired). And the sad thing is that he has been widely known to do a great job during difficult times. And is probably one of the most qualified person for the job. But as soon as the announcement came out, the rand crashed. It moved from R14.50 to R15.29 to the US dollar in just one h... ››› more
  • [14 December 2015]
  • The end of the South African rand is nigh!
  • What a bitter-sweet situation we're in. Jobs are being created in the United States of America and the economy is growing at a good pace. While back in South Africa we have the rand devaluing at record levels which is making it more and more expensive to travel and buy goods. You can understand why it's a win/lose situation. But it doesn't have to be. Let me take it a step further. ... ››› more
  • [11 November 2015]
  • This chart could reveal South Africa's downfall…
  • Oi vey! That's what I hear from Aiden every day in the office, while he's reading the news. Who can blame him with the economy and political situation going awry. Sure we have less lights, water and food but there's something even bigger brewing. This chart sends a shiver down my spine, because if it plays out, it could be the end of South Africa as we know it. Let me explain… The ... ››› more
  • [18 May 2015]
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